Download Modelling Expectations with GENEFER

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Contents
1.
Introduction ........................................................................................................................ 3
2.
A Genetic and Neural Fuzzy Rule-Base approach towards modelling expectations......... 5
3.
Managing Fuzzy Rule-Bases with GENEFER .................................................................. 8
3.1.
Input Identification..................................................................................................... 9
3.2.
Fuzzification............................................................................................................. 10
3.3. Rule-Base Generating .............................................................................................. 11
3.3.1.
Rule-Base Creating .......................................................................................... 12
3.3.2.
Rule-Base Simplifying ..................................................................................... 16
3.4. Fuzzy Rule-Base Tuning.......................................................................................... 17
4.3.1.
Genetic tuning .................................................................................................. 17
4.3.2.
Neural Tuning (Error-Backpropagation).......................................................... 19
4.
3.5.
Adaptability of the system in a changing environment............................................ 22
3.6.
Key Facts of GENEFER for Economic Model Builders ......................................... 24
Summary and directions for further research................................................................... 24
References ................................................................................................................................ 26