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the mean standardized test score at age 14 for different ethnic groups but take into account the margin of error (error bar) for each group mean. Use Graphs > Legacy Dialogs > Error Bar and select the default Simple and Summaries for groups of cases option to open the following menu: We will move age 14 test score (ks3score) into the Variable box and ethnic onto the Category Axis. Note the section titled Bars Represent which allows you to define the confidence interval – the default of 95% is the most commonly used, so we‟ll stick to that, but it is useful to know it can be altered to match the context. Click OK when you are happy with the settings and Figure 1.9.5 should appear. Figure 1.9.5: Mean age 14 score by ethnicity with 95% Confidence intervals The circle in the middle of each line represents the mean score for that ethnic group. The extension of the line represents the range in which we are 95% confident that the „true‟ mean lies for the group (+/- 2 SE). Note how the confidence interval for White British students is comparatively narrower than the intervals for the other ethnic groups. This is because the sample size for this group is much larger than for the other groups (see Figure 1.5.1, Page 1.5). Everything else being equal the larger the sample the more likely it is to represent the population and the more precisely we can estimate the „true‟ population mean. We can see from these error bars that, even though there are differences in the mean scores of the Pakistani, Bangledeshi, Black African and Black Caribbean groups, their confidence intervals overlap, meaning that there is insufficient evidence to suggest that the 52