Download DemProj Manual: a computer program for making

Table of Contents
LIST OF FIGURES.............................................................................................................VI
LIST OF TABLES ...............................................................................................................VI
INTRODUCTION .............................................................................................................. 1
A. Description of the Spectrum System ............................................................. 1
1. Components ............................................................................................... 1
2. Software Description ................................................................................. 2
B. Uses of Spectrum Policy Models .................................................................... 2
C. Organization of the Model Manuals ............................................................. 4
D.
Information about the POLICY Project ....................................................... 5
E. What Is DemProj?............................................................................................. 6
F. Why Make Population Projections? ............................................................... 6
STEPS IN MAKING A POPULATION PROJECTION.......................................................... 8
DEMOGRAPHIC INPUTS AND OUTPUTS ....................................................................... 10
A. Base Year Population ................................................................................... 11
B. Fertility............................................................................................................. 12
1. The Total Fertility Rate .............................................................................. 12
2. The Age Distribution of Fertility ............................................................... 15
C. Mortality......................................................................................................... 26
1. Life Expectancy at Birth .......................................................................... 26
2. Life Expectancy and AIDS ...................................................................... 28
3. Age-Specific Mortality............................................................................. 29
D. Migration........................................................................................................ 35
E. Current Population: Urban and Rural .......................................................... 36
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